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Fibonacci trading

Mark Cullen • May 11, 2021
1. What are Fibonacci numbers?
2. How are they used in Trading? 
3. Using Fib Extensions
4. Using Fib Retracements 
5. Using Time Cycles


What are Fibonacci numbers ?


🔹 Fibonacci numbers are a numerical series depicting nature’s expansion

🔹 The same number sequence appears all over throughout nature. i.e.

   ðŸ”¸ The number of petals on a flower

   ðŸ”¸ A snail shell

🔹 The sequence is made by simply starting at 1 and adding the previous number to arrive at the new number:


0+1=1, 1+1=2, 2+1=3, 3+2=5, 5+3=8, 8+5=13, 13+8=21, 21+13=34,…


🔹 Other important properties are the ratios when comparing any number to the number that is found 'X' places to the right:

   ðŸ”¸ 0.618- A.k.a the "Golden Ratio" - where X = 1

   ðŸ”¸ 0.382 - where X = 2

   ðŸ”¸ 0.236 - where X = 3


🔹 It is these Ratios that have a correlation to market movements in terms of price and time cycle

🔹 We use them to provide targets for:

   ðŸ”¸ Price Extensions

   ðŸ”¸ Price Retracements

   ðŸ”¸ Time Cycles



How Fibs are used in Trading?


🔹 Firstly we need to talk very basic Wave Theory / Elliot Wave

🔹 While stock market prices may appear random and unpredictable, they actually follow predictable, natural laws and can be measured and forecast using Fibonacci numbers


🔹 Without going to deep, the basic principle is; waves move in Impulses & Corrections

   ðŸ”¸ Impulse waves (BLACK) are made up of 5 sub waves

   ðŸ”¸ Corrections (RED) are made up of 3 sub waves

🔹 Impulses & Corrections go in both directions


🔹 Waves are fractal in nature i.e. drill deeper & find the same patterns in a lower degree / time frame

🔹 Trend direction will determine if the impulse's are up or down

🔹 Elliot Wave has a lot more to it which i will cover another time


🔹 Fib Extensions, Retracements & Time Cycles help predict key price levels

🔹 Extensions, provide price targets

🔹 Retracements, provide areas of support and reversal

🔹 Time Cycles, give some indication of WHEN the wave will complete



Using Fib Extensions


🔹 Common Fibonacci extension levels are 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, 200%, and 261.8%

🔹 TradingView has a Trend-base Fib Extension tool that helps plot levels on a chart

🔹 See below for where to find the extension tool

🔹 I use Fib extensions to help predict where the next wave will finish

🔹 For impulse's and correction see the below for details and rules




Using Fib Retracements


🔹 Common Fibonacci retracements levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% and 88.7%

🔹 TradingView has a Fib Retracement tool that helps plot levels on a chart

🔹 See below for where to find the Retracement tool

🔹 I use Fib retracements to help predict where the next wave opposite to the trend will finish

🔹 For impulse's and correction see the below for details and rules



Using Time Cycles


🔹 A little less know or used form of the Fib Ratios, is to use it to help determine time cycles

🔹 TradingView has a couple of Fib Time tool that helps plot levels on a chart

🔹 See below for where to find these tools

🔹 I use Fib Time tools to help me determine when i need to start paying more attention to a particular market

🔹 For impulse's and correction see the below for details and rules



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