Fibonacci trading
What are Fibonacci numbers ?
๐น Fibonacci numbers are a numerical series depicting nature’s expansion
๐น The same number sequence appears all over throughout nature. i.e.
๐ธ The number of petals on a flower
๐ธ A snail shell
๐น The sequence is made by simply starting at 1 and adding the previous number to arrive at the new number:
0+1=1, 1+1=2, 2+1=3, 3+2=5, 5+3=8, 8+5=13, 13+8=21, 21+13=34,…
๐น Other important properties are the ratios when comparing any number to the number that is found 'X' places to the right:
๐ธ 0.618- A.k.a the "Golden Ratio" - where X = 1
๐ธ 0.382 - where X = 2
๐ธ 0.236 - where X = 3
๐น It is these Ratios that have a correlation to market movements in terms of price and time cycle
๐น We use them to provide targets for:
๐ธ Price Extensions
๐ธ Price Retracements
๐ธ Time Cycles
How Fibs are used in Trading?
๐น Firstly we need to talk very basic Wave Theory / Elliot Wave
๐น While stock market prices may appear random and unpredictable, they actually follow predictable, natural laws and can be measured and forecast using Fibonacci numbers
๐น Without going to deep, the basic principle is; waves move in Impulses & Corrections
๐ธ Impulse waves (BLACK) are made up of 5 sub waves
๐ธ Corrections (RED) are made up of 3 sub waves
๐น Impulses & Corrections go in both directions
๐น Waves are fractal in nature i.e. drill deeper & find the same patterns in a lower degree / time frame
๐น Trend direction will determine if the impulse's are up or down
๐น Elliot Wave has a lot more to it which i will cover another time
๐น Fib Extensions, Retracements & Time Cycles help predict key price levels
๐น Extensions, provide price targets
๐น Retracements, provide areas of support and reversal
๐น Time Cycles, give some indication of WHEN the wave will complete
Using Fib Extensions
๐น Common Fibonacci extension levels are 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, 200%, and 261.8%
๐น TradingView has a Trend-base Fib Extension tool that helps plot levels on a chart
๐น See below for where to find the extension tool
๐น I use Fib extensions to help predict where the next wave will finish
๐น For impulse's and correction see the below for details and rules
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Using Fib Retracements๏ปฟ
๐น Common Fibonacci retracements levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% and 88.7%
๐น TradingView has a Fib Retracement tool that helps plot levels on a chart
๐น See below for where to find the Retracement tool
๐น I use Fib retracements to help predict where the next wave opposite to the trend will finish
๐น For impulse's and correction see the below for details and rules
Using Time Cycles
๐น A little less know or used form of the Fib Ratios, is to use it to help determine time cycles
๐น TradingView has a couple of Fib Time tool that helps plot levels on a chart
๐น See below for where to find these tools
๐น I use Fib Time tools to help me determine when i need to start paying more attention to a particular market
๐น For impulse's and correction see the below for details and rules
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