Fibonacci trading

Mark Cullen • 11 May 2021
1. What are Fibonacci numbers?
2. How are they used in Trading? 
3. Using Fib Extensions
4. Using Fib Retracements 
5. Using Time Cycles


What are Fibonacci numbers ?


๐Ÿ”น Fibonacci numbers are a numerical series depicting nature’s expansion

๐Ÿ”น The same number sequence appears all over throughout nature. i.e.

   ๐Ÿ”ธ The number of petals on a flower

   ๐Ÿ”ธ A snail shell

๐Ÿ”น The sequence is made by simply starting at 1 and adding the previous number to arrive at the new number:


0+1=1, 1+1=2, 2+1=3, 3+2=5, 5+3=8, 8+5=13, 13+8=21, 21+13=34,…


๐Ÿ”น Other important properties are the ratios when comparing any number to the number that is found 'X' places to the right:

   ๐Ÿ”ธ 0.618- A.k.a the "Golden Ratio" - where X = 1

   ๐Ÿ”ธ 0.382 - where X = 2

   ๐Ÿ”ธ 0.236 - where X = 3


๐Ÿ”น It is these Ratios that have a correlation to market movements in terms of price and time cycle

๐Ÿ”น We use them to provide targets for:

   ๐Ÿ”ธ Price Extensions

   ๐Ÿ”ธ Price Retracements

   ๐Ÿ”ธ Time Cycles



How Fibs are used in Trading?


๐Ÿ”น Firstly we need to talk very basic Wave Theory / Elliot Wave

๐Ÿ”น While stock market prices may appear random and unpredictable, they actually follow predictable, natural laws and can be measured and forecast using Fibonacci numbers


๐Ÿ”น Without going to deep, the basic principle is; waves move in Impulses & Corrections

   ๐Ÿ”ธ Impulse waves (BLACK) are made up of 5 sub waves

   ๐Ÿ”ธ Corrections (RED) are made up of 3 sub waves

๐Ÿ”น Impulses & Corrections go in both directions


๐Ÿ”น Waves are fractal in nature i.e. drill deeper & find the same patterns in a lower degree / time frame

๐Ÿ”น Trend direction will determine if the impulse's are up or down

๐Ÿ”น Elliot Wave has a lot more to it which i will cover another time


๐Ÿ”น Fib Extensions, Retracements & Time Cycles help predict key price levels

๐Ÿ”น Extensions, provide price targets

๐Ÿ”น Retracements, provide areas of support and reversal

๐Ÿ”น Time Cycles, give some indication of WHEN the wave will complete



Using Fib Extensions


๐Ÿ”น Common Fibonacci extension levels are 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, 200%, and 261.8%

๐Ÿ”น TradingView has a Trend-base Fib Extension tool that helps plot levels on a chart

๐Ÿ”น See below for where to find the extension tool

๐Ÿ”น I use Fib extensions to help predict where the next wave will finish

๐Ÿ”น For impulse's and correction see the below for details and rules

๏ปฟ


Using Fib Retracements๏ปฟ


๐Ÿ”น Common Fibonacci retracements levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% and 88.7%

๐Ÿ”น TradingView has a Fib Retracement tool that helps plot levels on a chart

๐Ÿ”น See below for where to find the Retracement tool

๐Ÿ”น I use Fib retracements to help predict where the next wave opposite to the trend will finish

๐Ÿ”น For impulse's and correction see the below for details and rules



Using Time Cycles


๐Ÿ”น A little less know or used form of the Fib Ratios, is to use it to help determine time cycles

๐Ÿ”น TradingView has a couple of Fib Time tool that helps plot levels on a chart

๐Ÿ”น See below for where to find these tools

๐Ÿ”น I use Fib Time tools to help me determine when i need to start paying more attention to a particular market

๐Ÿ”น For impulse's and correction see the below for details and rules

๏ปฟ

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